Bayes Calculator
Check a Bayesian revision with two states and two signal outcomes, following the arithmetic from prior to posterior.
Check your hand calculation from Week 6. Start with the developer’s survey, or enter your own labels and probabilities. This optional calculator handles two states and two signal outcomes; each pair must cover all possibilities without overlap.
For payoffs, EVSI, and utility, use the decision tree builder. Your entries stay in this page; reloading restores the developer’s example.